Turkish economy expands 3.8% in Q2, slightly over forecast

Turkish economy expands 3.8% in Q2, slightly over forecast

Türkiye’s economic system expanded 3.8% year-over-year within the second quarter of 2023, higher than the market forecast, based on knowledge launched by the nation’s statistical authority on Thursday.

The nation’s gross home product (GDP) at present costs surged 60.7% from final yr to TL 5.5 trillion ($271.5 billion) within the April-June interval, the Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) mentioned.


Economists had anticipated Türkiye’s economic system would develop 3.5% on an annual foundation within the second quarter.

The determine adopted a downwardly revised 3.9% annual progress within the first quarter of 2023.

Every quarter, the Turkish economic system grew 3.5% within the three months to June, shifting from a 0.1% contraction within the earlier interval.

The median estimate in a Reuters ballot of 12 economists predicted a GDP progress of round 3.5% for the April-June interval, whereas a survey by personal broadcaster Bloomberg HT and Anadolu Agency (AA) forecasted the enlargement at 4% and three.3%, respectively.

Commenting on the larger-than-expected progress recorded in 2023’s second quarter, Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek mentioned, “Our economy continued its strong growth performance in the second quarter of the year when we tried to compensate for the economic effects of the earthquake disaster.”

“We began to see the positive effects of the policies we implemented. We will continue to take the necessary steps to ensure stability and permanence of these effects.”

Curbing value will increase has been the highest precedence for the federal government, in keeping with the shift in financial insurance policies following parliamentary and presidential elections in May.

On Monday, Türkiye’s central financial institution mentioned it was persevering with to implement a street map towards setting the bottom to make sure the sustainable begin of disinflation in 2024 by taking “gradual and decisive” steps.

Second quarter progress

Value added elevated probably the most among the many providers – wholesale and retail commerce, transport, storage, lodging and meals service actions – constituting a gross home product of 6.4% year-over-year in April-June.

The figures elevated by 6.2% within the development sector and 1.2% in agriculture however decreased by 2.6% in business throughout the identical interval.

Türkiye’s financial exercise within the first quarter was impacted by the devastating earthquakes that hit the nation’s south and southeast, killing greater than 50,000.

According to the officers’ estimates, the reconstruction efforts are anticipated to value greater than $100 billion.

Goldman Sachs mentioned progress within the second quarter accelerated primarily as a consequence of preelection fiscal stimulus and the restoration after the earthquakes. It mentioned family consumption remained robust, whereas progress in industrial manufacturing and exports weakened in that interval.

Imports of products and providers soared 20.3% within the three months in comparison with final yr, whereas exports of products and providers plunged 9%.

TurkStat on Thursday additionally mentioned that Türkiye’s annual GDP progress charge for 2022 was revised barely downwards to five.5%.

Türkiye’s economic system bounced again strongly from the COVID-19 pandemic, extending its sizzling streak on robust home demand and exports, persevering with the upward pattern in progress in 2022 regardless of a slowdown in the principle buying and selling companions, which impacted exports due to the Russia-Ukraine warfare within the second half of the yr.

The economic system rose 4% year-over-year within the first quarter of 2023 regardless of difficult world monetary situations and the influence of the earthquakes within the agriculturally vital nation’s southeast.

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