Science Academy Member and Earth Scientist Prof. Dr. Naci Görür evaluated the earthquake with a magnitude of 5.5 that occurred within the Kozan district of Adana.
Prof. Dr. Naci Görür emphasised the sensitivity of the Adana area and issued necessary warnings. He additionally made an evaluation relating to the potential Marmara earthquake, stating that the earthquake is approaching for positive.
“ENERGY RELEASED IN THE FEBRUARY 6 EARTHQUAKES TRANSFERRED TO UNBROKEN FAULTS”
Prof. Dr. Naci Görür reminded concerning the vitality launched by the earthquakes centered in Kahramanmaraş, saying, “The faults the place at the moment’s earthquake occurred are typically left-lateral strike-slip faults. On February 6, a really massive earthquake occurred within the Southeast, particularly on the East Anatolian fault. The East Anatolian fault, together with the Dead Sea, prolonged from there to Diyarbakır, as an example Hatay, turned a significant earthquake zone. Two consecutive earthquakes with magnitudes of seven.7 and seven.6 occurred. An incredible quantity of vitality was launched. If I’m not mistaken, the vitality launched was equal to about 4 million tons of TNT.
Görür added ”Now, not all of this vitality is dissipated. Some of this vitality, I estimate as much as 20%, stays unbroken. It is transferred to the faults or fault segments that haven’t ruptured in that area. This vitality is transferred not solely to the fault that straight generates earthquakes but additionally to neighboring faults, whether or not they’re associated to it or not. Therefore, after the earthquakes on February 6, I instantly stated that focus ought to be paid to Adana and Hatay on February 7. Just due to this switch mechanism that I discussed, and certainly, 15 days later, a magnitude 6.4 earthquake occurred in Hatay. We had already talked about that 15 days in the past. We warned to concentrate to Hatay. We additionally stated ‘take note of Adana.'”
Prof. Dr. Naci Görür, relating to the earthquake with a magnitude of 5.5 in Adana, acknowledged, “Now, in Adana, there may be an earthquake with a magnitude of 5.5, 5.6 at the moment. In Adana, there are a lot of faults and fault fringes related to or near the East Anatolian fault zone, which might produce earthquakes. There was a 5.6 magnitude earthquake, which prompted some harm in sure locations in Adana. The Adana area nonetheless maintains its sensitivity. We have no idea how a lot stress switch and stress accumulation there may be in different faults. Let’s say many faults within the Adana basin have been accumulating stress for a very long time, and if the February 6 earthquakes are transferring vitality to a fault that has collected sufficient stress there, it could possibly be the ultimate straw that breaks the camel’s again and trigger a sure stage of earthquake.
He olsa talked about ”Therefore, once we say ‘watch out in Adana,’ I even stated ‘watch out in Cyprus.’ Mr. Celal Şengör additionally stated that one ought to be cautious in each Adana and Cyprus. The purpose we are saying that is due to the 2 main earthquakes and the plate actions within the area. Due to the motion of the Anatolian plate in the direction of the south-southwest by 7 meters, 7.5 meters relative to the Arabian plate, there could also be a stress switch to the faults within the Adana basin, Cyprus, and that area. We are saying this with the idea that these faults may need undergone modifications within the stress discipline. But now, individuals are writing to me on Twitter. Especially these dwelling in Adana, ‘Professor, will there be a bigger earthquake? Where will it happen? How will it occur?’ They are attempting to push us to say one thing about issues we do not actually know. There was a significant earthquake. Let’s say it was 5.6. There can be smaller earthquakes, like 4.6 and smaller, at sure intervals and for a sure time period.”
Prof. Dr. Naci Görür, who issued warnings concerning the potential Marmara earthquake, acknowledged, “We anticipate a minimal magnitude of seven.2, most 7.6, the rupture of the northern department of the North Anatolian fault inside the Marmara area. There are already varied branches there. We anticipate these branches to rupture. In Istanbul, the earthquake is a critical matter, and nothing has modified. As we at all times say, we have to put together Istanbul for the earthquake. We must do it ourselves. There is not any joking about this matter. I at all times say we have to do it with a mobilization spirit. It is definite that the earthquake is approaching in Istanbul.
Naci Görür talked about ”In the research carried out, ranging from the 1999 earthquakes, and with the opportunity of it occurring at any second since 1999, it was stated that the likelihood of it occurring inside 30 years was 62%. Now, 23-24 years have handed. Therefore, in my view, we’re heading in the direction of extra hopeless outcomes with that likelihood. This is as a result of yearly, there’s a stress improve equal to 2 and a half centimeters of motion within the northern department of the North Anatolian fault. Moreover, contemplating the extra stress that enormous earthquakes in Turkey placed on the Anatolian fault zone, it’s not attainable for this case to delay indefinitely.”
Source: www.anews.com.tr
