A current research performed by researchers exploring the influence of local weather change on excessive climate occasions in Europe and Türkiye predicted that for each 1-degree world temperature improve, the Mediterranean area would heat up by at the least 1.5 levels.
The research titled “Assessing the Scalability of Projected Changes in Extreme Weather Events in Europe using Regional Climate Models” supported by the Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye (TÜBITAK), examines adjustments in excessive temperatures over a 120-year interval in relation to world temperature will increase.
According to Tuğba Öztürk, the pinnacle of the Physics Department at Işık University, the analysis signifies that the Mediterranean basin experiences warming at a charge of 1.5 instances the worldwide common for warm extremes.
Speaking to Anadolu Agency (AA) Öztürk emphasised that unusual or much less steadily occurring climate occasions are categorized as excessive climate occasions.
She famous that via the primary yr of the research, they examined the every day minimal and most temperatures and their annual most and minimal values.
“In the Mediterranean basin, we are facing a warming of 1.5 times the global warming in terms of hot extremes. According to the model results, for every 1 degree Celsius (1.8 degrees Fahrenheit) of global warming, extreme temperatures in the Mediterranean region will increase by at least 1.5 degrees on average. For every 2 degrees Celsius, the increase will be 3 degrees, and for every 3 degrees Celsius, it will be 4.5 degrees,” Öztürk defined.
“When looking at cold extremes, particularly in Eastern and Northern Europe, this ratio increases to 3. In other words, for every 1 degree Celsius increase in global temperature, there will be a threefold increase in temperature in North and Eastern Europe. If it warms by 1 degree globally, it will be 3 degrees in these parts of Europe; if it warms by 2 degrees, it will be 6 degrees. By the end of the century, in a world that is 3 degrees warmer, we will experience an additional 6 degrees of cold extremes,” she added.
Öztürk identified that the better improve in temperatures in Northeast Europe is attributed to the lower in snow and ice cowl. “With less snow and ice cover, warming occurs even more. Snow reflects the sunlight, thus creating a cooling effect. However, when the snow cover is reduced, we observe even greater warming,” she famous.
The research additionally highlights that night time temperatures improve greater than the worldwide common, negatively affecting human consolation.
Öztürk emphasised that they examined the adjustments within the frequency and depth of maximum climate occasions within the Mediterranean Basin and Europe utilizing regional local weather mannequin projections.
Elaborating on the small print of the local weather modeling, Öztürk defined they observe the adjustments in important parameters equivalent to temperature, precipitation, wind and soil moisture over time by dividing the world right into a three-dimensional grid system through a pc program.
“These computer programs naturally contain physical equations because atmospheric circulation, for example, follows the laws of physics. We know how much energy comes from the sun. As input to the model, we provide this information, along with topographic data such as mountains, seas, grasslands and forests. Additionally, we provide information on future greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere. In other words, we input data on human behavior,” she famous.
Öztürk talked about that their analysis additionally contains research on how local weather change will have an effect on sure sectors. They purpose to supply insights into the impacts of local weather change on agriculture, water sources, meals safety and even well being.
Adapting to the brand new local weather
Öztürk emphasised the necessity to scale back the quantity of carbon dioxide within the ambiance to mitigate the results of world warming.
In addition, she underlined each the wind and photo voltaic potential Türkiye is carrying, significantly in areas of Biga Peninsula and Çanakkale, opining that, “We can reduce carbon dioxide emissions by investing more in renewable energy sources.”
“I believe we already have a renewable energy usage rate of up to 50% in our country. This needs to increase further, and alongside that, adaptation to this new climate is also important. We need to take measures to know how extreme weather events, extreme temperatures, extreme rainfall, droughts, and so on will change. We need to be prepared for this,” Öztürk urged.
Particularly, within the aftermath of the current forest fires throughout Türkiye, analysis on excessive climate occasions, together with warmth waves, intense rainfall and ensuing floods, sheds mild on future challenges.
Source: www.dailysabah.com
